Will Trump Accept Defeat?

Matthew J Carter
4 min readSep 13, 2024

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The Hidden Election Battle No One Is Talking About

As we approach the 2024 election, the stakes couldn’t be higher. On one side, we have Kamala Harris, the sitting Vice President and now a leading presidential candidate. On the other side, Donald Trump, a former president who has refused to admit defeat since 2020 and whose actions led to the infamous January 6th insurrection. But what happens if 2024 unfolds in a similar, if not more chaotic, way?

Many Americans remember the events following the 2020 election: Trump’s refusal to accept the results, the spread of misinformation about election fraud, and the violent attack on the Capitol that sought to overturn a peaceful transfer of power. Now, with Harris leading in polls after a commanding debate performance, it’s becoming clear that Trump may once again refuse to accept defeat.

The New Battlegrounds: State-Level Challenges to Certification

Here’s the issue: in states like Georgia, Texas, Arizona, Nevada, and Pennsylvania, local and state officials are being empowered to challenge or delay certification of election results. This means that even if Kamala Harris wins the popular vote and electoral college in these states, the results could be contested by local authorities claiming suspicion of fraud—without necessarily having evidence to back it up.

In some states, new laws and committees allow local officials to hold off on certifying the results if they "suspect" fraud. Georgia, which saw intense scrutiny in 2020, is one of the most likely states where this could happen again. Texas is another battleground where Attorney General Ken Paxton has already taken aggressive actions, including raids based on unfounded allegations of election fraud. This kind of intervention has a chilling effect on election volunteers and workers, and it feeds into a broader narrative of mistrust in the electoral process.

If these local or state officials delay certification or refuse to certify the results, it could throw the entire election into disarray. And this is exactly the kind of scenario that Trump may see as his path back to the White House.

The Role of the Supreme Court and Congress

Complicating matters further, the current Supreme Court has already demonstrated a willingness to shield Trump from certain legal consequences. With this judicial environment, there’s a risk that disputes over election results could be dragged into the courts, where Trump may expect favorable rulings. If enough key states refuse to certify their results or submit conflicting electoral slates, this could lead to a situation where Congress has to step in to resolve the crisis.

As we saw in 2020, the Vice President traditionally presides over the certification of electoral votes. In 2024, this would mean Kamala Harris herself would be in that role. But even if she does everything by the book, a prolonged legal battle could throw the election into uncertainty, with no clear outcome for weeks or even months.

Why This Time Is Different

While we’ve seen election disputes before, the key difference in 2024 is the level of power being given to local officials to challenge and delay results. Trump’s rhetoric, combined with local efforts to sow doubt about the integrity of the election, could fuel widespread attempts to contest the results in multiple states at once. This wouldn’t just create confusion—it could destabilize the entire election process.

If enough states refuse to certify, the election could ultimately end up in the House of Representatives, where each state delegation gets one vote. Given the Republican advantage in state delegations, this could be a path for Trump to win even if he loses both the popular vote and the electoral college.

What We Can Do to Protect Our Votes

As voters, we need to be aware of the potential for these tactics. The first step is ensuring that everyone understands the importance of not just voting, but being vigilant throughout the entire certification process. It’s crucial to spread awareness about these new laws and policies that could delay or disrupt the counting and certification of votes.

A few key things we should all be doing:

1. Stay Informed: As election day approaches, pay close attention to what’s happening in your state. Be aware of any attempts by local officials to challenge or delay certification. Misinformation thrives in confusion, so knowing the facts will be critical.

2. Demand Accountability: If you see any irregularities or attempts to undermine the election process, don’t be afraid to speak up. Local officials need to know that the public is watching closely. Reach out to your state and local representatives to demand transparency and fairness.

3. Support Election Workers: Volunteer poll workers and election officials are on the front lines of ensuring a free and fair election. They need our support, especially in states where election laws are being weaponized to intimidate them.

4. Spread the Word: Share this information with your networks. The more people who are aware of these tactics, the less effective they will be. Voters need to understand that their participation doesn’t end on election day. It’s vital to stay engaged until the votes are counted and certified.

Conclusion: Vigilance Is Key

While Trump may attempt to use legal and political loopholes to challenge the results of the 2024 election, an informed and engaged public is the best defense. We’ve seen what happens when election integrity is questioned, and we can’t afford to let confusion or misinformation take hold again.

It’s not just about voting—it’s about making sure that every vote is counted, certified, and respected. By staying informed and holding officials accountable, we can ensure that the outcome of this election reflects the will of the people. The future of our democracy depends on it.

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Matthew J Carter

Entrepreneur and founder with a track record spanning 12 years in various start-ups, and one acquisition.